We’re not sure when the boys of summer will return to the field due to the coronavirus outbreak, but if and when they do, the Dodgers will once again be an imposing force in the National League West after trading for Mookie Betts in the offseason.
The MLB may be on hold, but Andrew Caley is still diving headfirst into the baseball betting odds for when the regular season win totals are back on the board.
Note: This is Under the assumption that numbers that were originally posted will be adjusted to fit the length of the regular season in 2020.
NL WEST REGUALR SEASON WIN TOTALS
|TEAM||2020 WIN TOTAL (PRIOR TO SHUTDOWN)||ODDS TO WIN NL WEST|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||101.5||-1400|
|San Diego Padres||82.5||+1200|
|San Francisco Giants||68.5||+50000|
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The Diamondbacks were a trendy Over pick heading into last season and they did not disappoint, easily clearing their win total. Can they do it again in 2020? Before the shutdown the D-backs had a win total of 83.5 which seems about right, because it’s hard to figure out exactly what they are doing.
Last year they traded away Paul Goldschmidt in the offseason and Zack Greinke at the deadline, but then go out and sign Madison Bumgarner (it’s going to be weird seeing MadBum in a different uniform). There were also rumors Robbie Ray could be on the move at some point.
Either way this was a scrappy bunch in 2019 ranking in the top half of the league in most offensive categories and added Starling Marte to balance out the lineup. While it’s still hard to know what to make of the D-backs, they are a solid home team, with one of the most competitive starters at the top of the rotation. We’ll side with the Over.
In 2018 the Rockies won 91 games, earned a wild card berth and it looked as if they finally had a young rotation that was able to pitch well in the thin air of Coors Field. Well, life comes at you fast because 2019 was a disaster. The Rockies followed up their wild-card campaign with just 71 wins last season.
Kyle Freeland, German Marquez and Antonio Senzatela all had worse seasons in 2019 than they did in 2018 as the Rockies finished dead last in starter ERA. So, they’ll need a big turnaround from the rotation that hasn’t made any changes. The bullpen wasn’t much better.
While the offense did a fair amount of scoring, not surprisingly, it was mostly at home. The Rockies led the Bigs in scoring at home but were 28th on the road. Obviously, Colorado has something to do with that, but inconsistencies that wide are hard to overcome. But the biggest question is whether or not star 3B Nolan Arenado will finish the season with the Rockies. There are too many issues with this team for me to back the Over.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS
The Dodgers might be the most motivated team in baseball this season. They feel like they directly lost the most from the Astros (and maybe Red Sox) sign stealing scandal. Specifically, losing the 2017 and 2018 World Series. The Dodgers are coming off a season in which they won 106 games and now they’ve added a Top 5 player to their roster in Mookie Betts. He joins a stacked lineup that features Cody Bellinger, Corey Seager, Justin Turner and Max Muncy.
We also can’t forget about David Price, who solidifies a rotation that still features Clayton Kershaw and Walker Buehler. Oh, the Dodgers also have two of the top prospects that are expected to be on a Major League roster this season: second baseman Gavin Lux and pitcher Dustin May. It’s an embarrassment of riches for the Dodgers, and despite one of the highest win totals before the shutdown at 101.5, we still like the Over in a division that might not put up much of a fight.
SAN DIEGO PADRES
Last season was supposed to be the breakout year for the Padres. Manny Machado chose to come in free agency and Fernando Tatis Jr., looked like the Bigs’ next star. But the season never really got off the ground and the Padres ended in a familiar place, the basement of the NL West. But oddsmakers think things could turn around in 2020, setting their win total at 82.5.
The Padres have brought in more veterans to support their young players including Tommy Pham, Drew Pomeranz (to be a big arm out of the bullpen) and Jurickson Profar. This is a solid lineup, but the pitching needs to catch up for the Padres to make a leap this season.
Chris Paddack looks like an ace in the making, but there are question marks behind him. Can Joey Lucchesi, Cal Quantril or even rookie MacKenzie Gore make the leap? And veterans Garret Richards and Zach Davies don’t inspire a ton of confidence. That said, there is enough talent to go Over this season.
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
With Madison Bumgarner officially out of town, the rebuild by The Bay is officially on. After getting ousted in Philly, Gabe Kapler comes over to lead the charge although some of the other veterans might not realize it yet.
The Giants still have guys like Buster Posey, Evan Longoria and Brandon Crawford in the lineup, but the youngsters on the team are going to get more playing time when push comes to shove as “player development” will become a much used term in San Francisco this season.
The rotation is surprisingly solid. Johnny Ceuto returns from injury, Jeff Samardzija is still there, and they brought in Kevin Gausman and Drew Smyly. That said, it’s unclear how long those veterans stick around. With the rebuild in Phase 1 we’re on the Under for the Giants in 2020.